Te Tirohanga ki te Mekameka Ahumahi Konumohe 2026: He nui te Tuku, he pikinga o ngā utu

I. He nui te tuku o te bauxite ahakoa te pikinga o ngā utu tuku

Ko te hanga o te bauxite a tōku whenua i te marama o Pēpuere he 4.7567 miriona tana, he hekenga 10.92% ia marama engari he pikinga 6.13% ia tau, e tohu ana i te nui o te tuku o roto. Mō te konganuku kawemai, i kawemai tōku whenua i te 14.67 miriona tana o te bauxite i te marama o Tīhema, he hekenga 2.88% ia marama, me te 2.02% ia tau, e tohu ana hoki i te nui o te tuku. Heoi, ko te pikinga o ngā utu kaipuke kua arahi ki te pikinga haere o ngā utu kaipuke nā te pikinga o ngā utu hinu mata.

Mō te kaha hou, ko te pikinga nui o te hanga bauxite o te ao i te tau 2026 ka noho tonu ki Guinea. I runga i te pikinga e tumanakohia ana o te hanga mai i ngā umanga o nāianei, kua tīmata anō, me ngā umanga kua whānui ake i Guinea, e matapaetia ana ka piki ake te tuku bauxite o te ao mā te 40-50 miriona tana i te tau 2026. Ki te kore ngā whakararuraru kaupapa here pea, e matapaetia ana ka noho tonu te nui o te tuku o te mākete bauxite i te tau 2026.

II. Kei te noho tonu te pēhanga o te tuku alumina, engari kei te piki ake ngā utu

I te marama o Pēpuere, ko te hanga alumina kounga whakarewa o tōku whenua he 6.6002 miriona tana, he hekenga 10.63% ia marama, me te 0.05% ia tau. Nā te whakahekenga nui o te hanga a tētahi kamupene i te raki o Haina i waenganui o Pēpuere, me te whakapai ake i ngā taputapu me ngā raina whakaputa e ētahi kamupene, me te whakaiti i ngā kawenga mahi a ētahi kamupene i te tonga, i iti ai te hekenga o te hanga katoa ia marama. I te marama o Poutū-te-rangi, tera pea ka haere tonu ētahi kamupene ki te whakapai ake i ngā raina whakaputa, ā, ka uru te umanga ki tētahi wāhanga o te tango taonga. Heoi, kei te tukuna haeretia te kaha whakaputa hou i Guangxi, hei utu mō ētahi o te whakahekenga, ā, e matapaetia ana ka whakaatu te kaha whakahaere katoa i tētahi ia heke puhoi.

Mō te kaha hou, ka tukuna tonutia he nui o te kaha alumina ki roto i te motu me te ao i te tau 2026. E kiia ana ka tāpirihia tata ki te 15 miriona tana o te kaha hou ki roto i te motu, ko te nuinga ki ngā kawanatanga o Guangxi me Hebei, ā, ko te tata ki te 7.5 miriona tana o te kaha hou ki tāwāhi ka tāpirihia, ko te nuinga kei Inia, ka hua ake he pēhanga nui ki te taha tuku alumina.

I te marama o Tīhema, i kaweake tōku whenua i te 205,900 tāne o te alumina, he pikinga ake i te 22.56% i ia marama, ā, i ia tau he 9.35%, ā, i kawemai i te 227,800 tāne, he hekenga iho i te 1.98% i ia marama, engari he pikinga ake i te 1389% i ia tau. Ko ngā kawemai kupenga i te marama o Tīhema he 21,900 tāne. Mō ngā wāhi kawemai me te kaweake alumina, he iti noa te ōwehenga o te Middle East.

Mō ngā taonga, tae noa ki te 5 o Poutū-te-rangi, kua eke te tapeke o ngā taonga alumina o tōku whenua ki te 5.722 miriona tana, ā, kei te piki haere tonu. Ko te nuinga o te pikinga i ahu mai i ngā taonga i roto i te waka me ngā taonga i te tauranga, ā, i piki ake ngā taonga ā-mua i runga ake i te 330,000 tana.

III. Whakarāpopototanga

I te nuinga o te wā, kāore anō kia pā te āhua o te Middle East ki te tuku bauxite o te ao. Heoi, mai i te tirohanga utanga, ko te pikinga tonu o ngā utanga moana kua piki ake ngā utu kawe bauxite, ā, nā reira i tautoko i ngā utu o te konganuku kawemai ā-rohe. Mō te alumina, i te mea ko te Middle East te whenua kawemai o te alumina, nā te raruraru o te kawe waka kua piki ake te tuku mai i ngā rohe ehara i te Middle East. Heoi, me te pikinga o ngā utu pūngao me ngā rauemi mata, kua kaha ake te tautoko utu mō te alumina. Mō te konumohe hiko, ko te Middle East te whenua kaweake o te konumohe hiko, ā, he pānga nui te āhua o te ao tōrangapū ki ngā umanga konumohe hiko ā-rohe. Mai i te tirohanga tuku o te ao, kua pā kē tēnei ki te tuku konumohe hiko, me te pānga nui ake.

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